πŸ‡¦πŸ‡ΊAustralian Economy

Australia Dashboard

RBA rate decisions, economic indicators, big four bank forecasts, property market, fiscal policy, and ASX investment analysis β€” all in one place.

GDP Growth
1.9%
+0.1%
Q1 2026 YoY
CPI Inflation
3.2%
-0.2%
May 2026 YoY
RBA Cash Rate
4.35%
+0.25%
Jun 2026
Unemployment
4.0%
-0.1%
May 2026
AUD/USD
0.6581
+0.31%
Jun 15, 2026
ASX 200
8,447
+0.54%
Jun 15, 2026
Key Charts

RBA Cash Rate

Target rate (%)

4.35%
+0.25%
4.07%4.17%4.27%4.38%Jun 25AprApr

CPI Inflation

YoY change (%)

3.2%
-0.2%
2.98%3.86%4.74%5.62%Jun 25AprApr

ASX 200

Index points

8,447
+0.54%
7.1k7.6k8.1k8.6kJun 25AprApr

AUD/USD

Exchange rate

0.6581
+0.31%
$0.628$0.644$0.660$0.676Jun 25AprApr
Big Four Banks

2026 Economic Forecasts

CBA
Commonwealth Bank
Dovish
Rate end-2026
3.85%
2 cuts remaining
GDP 2026
2.2%
CPI 2026
2.7%
AUD/USD
0.69
House Prices
+5%

CBA expects two 25bps cuts in H2 2026, taking the cash rate to 3.85% by December. Sees household consumption recovering as mortgage relief flows through and real wages turn positive.

WBC
Westpac
Neutral
Rate end-2026
4.10%
1 cut remaining
GDP 2026
2.0%
CPI 2026
2.9%
AUD/USD
0.67
House Prices
+4%

Westpac pencils in one cut in November, taking the rate to 4.10%. Services inflation at 4.1% remains the key constraint β€” a sustained decline is needed before the RBA begins easing.

ANZ
ANZ
Hawkish
Rate end-2026
4.35%
0 cuts remaining
GDP 2026
1.8%
CPI 2026
3.1%
AUD/USD
0.65
House Prices
+3%

ANZ sees no cuts in 2026, holding at 4.35% through year-end. Points to a tight labour market β€” unemployment at 4.0% β€” and resilient wage growth as reasons for RBA patience.

NAB
NAB
Neutral
Rate end-2026
4.10%
1 cut remaining
GDP 2026
2.1%
CPI 2026
2.8%
AUD/USD
0.67
House Prices
+4%

NAB forecasts one cut in Q4 2026 to 4.10%, in line with market pricing. Flags China's $500B stimulus as a significant upside risk for Australian commodity exports and the AUD.

Latest News
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Australian Economic News

Investment Themes

Key Australian Investment Themes

RBA Easing Cycle

The RBA has begun cutting rates from a 12-year high. Banks, REITs, and rate-sensitive sectors are the primary beneficiaries. Watch for credit growth re-acceleration.

China Commodity Demand

Australia's iron ore, coal, and LNG exports are heavily tied to Chinese industrial activity. China's $500B stimulus package is a direct tailwind for BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue.

Property Market Recovery

Rate cuts are reigniting housing demand in Sydney and Melbourne. Low supply, population growth, and falling rates create a supportive backdrop for residential property.

Superannuation Growth

Australia's $4.1T super system is a structural buyer of domestic and global equities. Compulsory contributions at 11.5% of wages ensure persistent capital inflows.

Critical Minerals

Australia holds the world's largest reserves of lithium, cobalt, and rare earths. The global energy transition is driving long-term demand for Australian critical mineral exports.

AUD Recovery Potential

The AUD is trading below fair value on most models. A Fed easing cycle, China recovery, and commodity price strength could push AUD/USD toward 0.70 by end-2026.

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Data Sources

  • World Bank
  • IMF Data
  • Federal Reserve
  • ECB Statistics
  • OECD

Disclaimer: Data displayed on Oznomics is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Market data may be delayed. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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Data sourced from World Bank, IMF, Federal Reserve, and public market feeds.